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Does the past years Bull Rally look like its going to continue, or are you expecting a reversal?
Recent Discussion: last response was 7 hours, 43 minutes ago view all comments
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Malaise

March 11, 2010 – 12:31 pm

There has been little in the way of news this week that would drive stock prices. That does not mean there is no news, only that the bits we are getting are not market movers one way or another.

We have had more mergers, a report on job openings hitting an 11 month high, talk about the health care bill and some upward revised estimates on earnings for the S&P 500 for this year. The market is rising but struggling without any catalyst to push it higher.

Something that is more basic and tells a story that is not good news for the average investor is that mutual fund investors are nowhere to be found. Money coming into funds is negligible despite the very good returns in the overall stock market. It might be that they just don’t have the money. However, if that was true why are we seeing retail sales rising and actual earnings for retail outlets doing very well?

I think it boils down to jobs and the unemployed. If you are not working you are not saving and in fact you are spending. That is an easy explanation but there is just one problem. The savings rate is around 4 to 5%. Where is that money going? If these savings start to move into mutual funds maybe the rally will be over. The last participant in a rally is usually the retail investor who waits too long.

Good Trading
Steve Peasley


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March 10, 2010 – 6:59 pm

Today’s Stocks & Topics:
Junk Funds, (RIMM) Research in Motion Limited, I-Bonds, (BRK.A) Berkshire Hathaway Inc., (ARST) Arc Sight Inc., The Stock Market, (VZ) Verizon Communications Inc.

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10 smarter ways to reach your retirement goals.

March 10, 2010 – 12:49 pm

Today’s Stocks & Topics:
(FCN) Fti Consulting Inc., (FSYS) Fuel Systems Solutions Inc., (LVLT) Level 3 Communications Inc., (IMAX) Imax Corporation, Bankruptcy, (ICE) IntercontinentalExchange Inc., Mutual Funds.

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Has the stock market reversed its trend?

March 10, 2010 – 12:47 pm

Today’s Stocks & Topics:
(FCN) Fti Consulting Inc., (FSYS) Fuel Systems Solutions Inc., (LVLT) Level 3 Communications Inc., (IMAX) Imax Corporation, Bankruptcy, (ICE) IntercontinentalExchange Inc., Mutual Funds.

Subscribe to the Investtalk Premium Newsletter for only $9.99 per month and this month get a Free 5-Point Portfolio Smart Scan. http://investtalk.hitfastforward.com/premium-newsletter-sign-up/


Trends and Predictions

March 9, 2010 – 6:21 pm

The strong market on Friday set a stage for a rally in foreign markets over the weekend but the domestic exchanges are struggling to stay in positive territory today. This morning we had more merger  and acquisition activity which is giving a positive feel at the opening.

Traders and investors are feeling better than they were just a few weeks ago as Greece seems to be serious about correcting its debt problems, China is still set to grow after trying to tighten the reins on lending and the U.S. economic statistics move toward a slightly stronger recovery. At least that is what the sense is today. Tomorrow that could change.

Reacting to the day to day mood swings of the market players is not a good way to invest. Longer term trends are much more important and there seems to be a slightly better outlook so investors can take a little comfort. It will come down to next month’s earnings report and the reporting companies’ outlook for the future. It will either confirm a recovery in progress or disappointing weakness.

It is still very confusing with a tilt to the positive.

Good Trading
Steve Peasley