Friday, May 11th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: Consumer Sentiment Numbers, How Many Mutual Funds Should You Own, Practice Retirement While You Work, 401k, (AMAT) Applied Materials Inc., (SDRL) SeaDrill Ltd., (TOT) Total S.A. ADS, (GMCR) Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc., Treasury Bonds, (JPM) JPMorgan Chase and Co., (SPY) SPDR S and P 500 ETF Trust, Early Retirement, Stocks and Ownership.
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Thursday, May 10th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: Inflation, Dogs of the DOW, Economic Outlook, (CEL) Cellcom Israel Ltd., 401k, Index Funds, (BCS) Barclays PLC ADS, Moving Averages.
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Wednesday, May 9th, 2012
The vast majority of employed people in the United States work for small businesses. This is counter intuitive to what is written or spoken about in the major media that is dominated about stories of large layoffs or factory workers going back to work. Those layoffs and returning factory workers are not the true story about our working population. It is the small businesses and their ability to grow, thus hire more workers. The entrepreneurial health in America is the backbone of our economy and it is there that we should look for in improving health in the job market.
Unfortunately, there is not a lot of data that tracks this important segment. By the very nature of small business, that moves quickly to grow or shrink its workforce, gauging the strength and durability of the segment is problematic.
One of the better gauges called the NFIB small-business index was released this week. The reading came in for April at 2 points higher than March at 94.5 led by an eleven point jump in earnings trends. It now stands at the same level as February 2011 when GDP growth stood at about 3%, much higher than it is today. In the various components of this statistic there were gains in the plans to hire more workers, gains in expectations of a better economy and improved credit availability.
When the small business person ‘feels’ better about the future it tends to make that future come true. Though this is only one of many statistics that need to be moving in the same direction it is a good fundamental indicator of future economy growth and more importantly job creation.
Good Trading
Steve Peasley
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Wednesday, May 9th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: Should You Retire with a Mortgage, Homeownership, 5 Money Mistakes, Non-Traded REITs, (MCD) McDonald’s Corp., (CNX) Consol Energy Inc., Natural Gas, (AAPL) Apple Inc., (INTC) Intel Corp., (GPOR) Gulfport Energy Corp., (EXPE) Expedia Inc., (ERF) Enerplus Corp.
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Tuesday, May 8th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: Recession, Inflation, 10 Money Mistakes, Stock Value, Call Options, ETFs, Market Val
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Monday, May 7th, 2012
Elections in Greece and France pushed the political climate in a direction that may endanger the austerity programs and for Greece may result in an exit from the European Union. The voters in those countries are rebelling against spending within their means something we in America seem to have forgotten as well. Regardless, the result is uncertainty and stock markets dislike that uneasy feeling.
Late in the week we will be getting Chinese data on inflation. Why is that important? With Europe producing uncertainty, a rise in inflation in China could do the same thing in that region. Recent numbers are a little high but much reduced from a year ago. As inflation has come down China has moved to a stance of easing their grip on their economy. That will help offset the unease going on in a weak Europe.
Investing is a global activity and what is happening in major economies around the world is very important for our stock market. In our own economy it does not help that we are not producing enough jobs. The world economy is growing but at a reduced pace, not unlike our own. Then again expectations are reduced so our stock market need not go down. In fact, this morning, despite the European elections and with the majority of the Euro zone in recession our market is holding up very well.
Good Trading
Steve Peasley
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Monday, May 7th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: Should You retire with a Mortgage?, Alternative Investments, Real Estate, Natural Gas, (CAT) Caterpillar Inc., (GPOR) Gulfport Energy Corp., (SWN) Southwestern Energy Co., 10 Worst States to do Business, Activity Indicator, High Yield ETFs, (AAPL) Apple Inc., (SNY) Sanofi ADS, (GMCR) Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc.
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Friday, May 4th, 2012
No matter what kind of spin you put on it, 115,000 new jobs created in April as reported this morning is not nearly enough. The unemployment rate fell to 8.1% but everybody knows that is misleading to the point of being downright wrong. The real unemployment rate is between 14% to 16% but then again we really do not know. A more important and relevant number is the percentage of our labor-force that is working and that is 63.6% from 63.8% last month. That is not good and is going in the wrong direction.
The little bit of good news is that they revised upward the jobs created in the previous two months; Too little and too late.
Maybe we are seeing the drag on our economy from the 11 countries in Europe that are in recession or the slower growth in China and its effect. Both of those are probably true.
The real issue is are we going to continue to expand our economy or are we going to fall into a recession? It does not look like we will fall into a recession. In fact there are signs that future economic expansion might pick up ever so slightly. See this week’s KPP Newsletter for more on that.
Good Trading
Steve Peasley
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Friday, May 4th, 2012
Today’s Stocks and Topics: FCC Tops 6 Tips to avoid Senior Fraud, 529-Plan, Interest Mortgage Rates, Health Insurance Companies, The Stock Market, Dogs of the Dow, Re-Buying Stocks, (HLF) Herbalife Ltd., Retirement, Unemployment Report, (BP) BP PLC ADS, Politicians and Taxes, (ZIP) Zipcar Inc., Annuities.
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